PORT congestion is rebounding in northern Chinese ports and it is not expected to let up for the next several weeks at least, according to analysis from S&P Global Market Intelligence.
The port congestion has expanded due to COVID-19 lockdown measures being extended from Shanghai to more Chinese cities, including parts of Beijing.
“Moreover, many vessels are trying to find alternative ports since social restrictions in major cities in east China including Shanghai are expected to continue into early May,” a report from S&P Global Market Intelligence said.
“This will likely increase congestion in southern ports as well.”
According to Commodities at Sea, S&P Global Market Intelligence, total congestion level at ports of Shanghai has increased by about 30-40% as of 25 April since the start of March, but it is still lower than the peak of last year over the third quarter.
Since manufacturing sector in mainland China has been also affected because of the lockdowns and labour shortage, Chinese import and export growth has been reduced from year-ago level.
According to S&P Global Market intelligence AIS data, vessel capacity arrivals into Chinese ports to load or discharge cargo have decreased by 11% to about 1.15 billion deadweight in the first quarter of 2022 from about 1.28 billion deadweight from first quarter of 2021.
And, since mainland China is exporting less container-related cargo with lockdown measures, freight rates for containers and small bulkers have been softening.
High demand for exports in mainland China, along with tight container capacity was affecting general bulk cargo flow with de-containerised trend. Some general cargo that was typically shipped in a container box, including steel, aluminium, fertiliser and bagged cargo, have been shipped on general cargo ships and small geared bulk vessels.
Also, lesser export volume from mainland China eased congestion on discharging ports, including US container ports. However, once COVID-19-related lockdown measures are lifted in mainland China along with seasonal recovery of shipments, the impact may pose another upside risk on port congestion in the discharging port side over the coming peak season.
